Confirmation Bias
Selective validation of an existing thesis while discounting evidence that challenges it.
Catalogue
Bias reference set
Each article is a standalone research note covering definition, drivers, triggers, diagnostics, cost profile, and corrective guidance. This set is not exhaustive; it reflects the 20 biases we have published so far.
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Anchoring Bias
Initial reference points cling to valuations and trade plans even after conditions shift.
Recency Bias
Recent price action receives outsized weight compared with longer-cycle evidence.
Loss Aversion
Potential losses loom larger than equal gains, skewing exit timing and position bias.
Overconfidence Bias
Conviction, timing skill, or insight are assumed superior to what historical hit rates justify.
Herding Behaviour
Portfolio shifts mirror crowd flows instead of the investor's independent analysis.
Disposition Effect
Gains are taken quickly while losses linger because emotions treat outcomes asymmetrically.
Availability Bias
Probabilities get inferred from the most vivid or recent headlines instead of representative samples.
Hindsight Bias
After outcomes settle, traders rewrite the narrative to make events appear obvious all along.
Sunk-Cost Fallacy
Past spend or effort locks a trader into positions despite deteriorating odds.
Self-Attribution Bias
Wins get credited to skill while setbacks are assigned to external factors.
Representativeness Bias
Likelihoods are inferred from superficial resemblance to familiar stories instead of base rates.
Mental Accounting
Capital is segmented into arbitrary buckets that distort risk sizing and evaluation.
Framing Effect
Identical data can trigger opposite choices purely because of how it is worded or staged.
Endowment Effect
Ownership alone inflates perceived value relative to identical assets not held.
Gambler's Fallacy
Random sequences are expected to self-correct, as though past streaks influence future odds.
Status Quo Bias
Default allocations persist simply because change feels costly or uncertain.
Outcome Bias
Decisions are graded by results alone rather than by the quality of the process that produced them.
Illusion of Control
Participants overrate their ability to steer outcomes in systems largely driven by noise.
Survivorship Bias
Analysis samples only visible winners while ignoring the failures that disappeared.
Bias operating table
Quick reference with operational definitions, triggers, diagnostics, and remediation lenses.